This deficit spending of Bt300 billion is less than the last fiscal
year's Bt400 billion, but it still represents 3-4 per cent of the gross
domestic product.
Thailand's public debt now stands at 42 per
cent of GDP. If the government continues to rack up the deficit and
other debts, we'll be heading faster to the public-sector debt limit of
60 per cent of GDP.
Korbsak Sabhavasu of the Democrat Party
says the government has run up budget deficits of more than Bt600
billion in two years. Yet it has repaid only around Bt100 billion. This
means that debt creation is running significantly faster than
repayment.
All of this has yet to take into account the
off-balance sheet debt creation by the government, from Bt300 billion
for the rice subsidy scheme, the rubber price intervention and other
massive spending projects, all of which will eventually have to be
factored into the government's accounting book.
Earlier,Posts with Hospital rtls
on IT Solutions blog covering Technology in the Classroom, the Finance
Ministry sought approval from the Cabinet to raise the public debt by
another Bt450 billion. Of this, Bt350 billion will account for
borrowing to compensate those who suffered damages from last year's
floods; Bt50 billion for contributions to the flood insurance fund; and
Bt50 billion to cover the revenue shortfall.We are professional canada goose jackets
for women online sale shop. This borrowing spree will raise the public
debt to GDP ratio to 50 per cent within this year or next.
Dr
Narongchai Arkarasenee, a former commerce minister, has warned that the
government should in fact keep the public debt to GDP ratio at 50 per
cent or less. Since the government's spending accounts for around 20
per cent of GDP, raising the public debt beyond 50 per cent of GDP
would put the country's fiscal position at risk.
Apart from this
ongoing massive debt creation, the government also plans to dig deep
into the vaults of the Bank of Thailand to spend at least US$100
billion (Bt3 trillion) of its $180 billion in international reserves.
Dr
Virabongsa Ramangkura, who now heads the board of the Bank of
Thailand, has said that the central bank should not hold such an
unnecessary reserve surplus. The excess money should be used for
infrastructure investment projects that will help lay the foundation for
future growth.
The Bank of Thailand's reserves of $180 billion
should be enough to defend the baht or facilitate international trade
transactions.
Dr Prasarn Trairatvorakul,UK chickencoop
Specialist. the Bank of Thailand governor, is protecting the reserves
like - as the old Thai saying goes - "a snake protecting its eggs".Why
does moulds
grow in homes or buildings? However, the government has already shown
so far that it has no respect for fiscal discipline. And now it wants
to spend even more by coming up with justifications to appropriate
money from the international reserves.
Bank of Thailand
officials are still haunted by the 1997 baht crisis when the central
bank lost almost all of its reserves and the country was forced to
accept a support programme from the International Monetary Fund.
With
the sudden removal of Piyasavasti Amranand as president of Thai
Airways International - supposedly over conflict regarding the
long-term aircraft acquisition programme - a similar situation might
arise with Dr Prasarn at the Bank of Thailand.
The government
is going to spend money like crazy and will test its borrowing to the
limit. It has insisted that it will keep the ceiling at 60 per cent of
GDP. But we can hardly trust the word of politicians on their borrowing
and spend.Save up to 80% off Ceramic Tile and porcelaintiles.
If
the global economy heads south and Thailand's GDP takes a hit for
several years in a row, the debt to GDP ratio will rise to 80 per cent
or 100 per cent in a hurry. Then we will become another Greek tragedy.
沒有留言:
張貼留言